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Effectiveness of a Third Dose of Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna Vaccines in Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalization Among Immunocompetent and Immunocompromised Adults

Abstract and Introduction

Introduction

COVID-19 mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech] and mRNA-1273 [Moderna]) provide protection against infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and are highly effective against COVID-19–associated hospitalization among eligible persons who receive 2 doses.[1,2] However, vaccine effectiveness (VE) among persons with immunocompromising conditions* is lower than that among immunocompetent persons,[2] and VE declines after several months among all persons.[3] On August 12, 2021, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued an emergency use authorization (EUA) for a third mRNA vaccine dose as part of a primary series ≥28 days after dose 2 for persons aged ≥12 years with immunocompromising conditions, and, on November 19, 2021, as a booster dose for all adults aged ≥18 years at least 6 months after dose 2, changed to ≥5 months after dose 2 on January 3, 2022.[4–6] Among 2,952 adults (including 1,385 COVID-19 case-patients and 1,567 COVID-19–negative controls) hospitalized at 21 U.S. hospitals during August 19–December 15, 2021, effectiveness of mRNA vaccines against COVID-19–associated hospitalization was compared between adults eligible for but who had not received a third vaccine dose (1,251) and vaccine-eligible adults who received a third dose ≥7 days before illness onset (312). Among 1,875 adults without immunocompromising conditions (including 1,065 [57%] unvaccinated, 679 [36%] 2-dose recipients, and 131 [7%] 3-dose [booster] recipients), VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was higher among those who received a booster dose (97%; 95% CI = 95%–99%) compared with that among 2-dose recipients (82%; 95% CI = 77%–86%) (p <0.001). Among 1,077 adults with immunocompromising conditions (including 324 [30%] unvaccinated, 572 [53%] 2-dose recipients, and 181 [17%] 3-dose recipients), VE was higher among those who received a third dose to complete a primary series (88%; 95% CI = 81%–93%) compared with 2-dose recipients (69%; 95% CI = 57%–78%) (p <0.001). Administration of a third COVID-19 mRNA vaccine dose as part of a primary series among immunocompromised adults, or as a booster dose among immunocompetent adults, provides improved protection against COVID-19–associated hospitalization.

During August 19–December 15, 2021, a period in which the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant was predominant, adults admitted to 21 hospitals in 18 states within the Influenza or Other Viruses in the Acutely Ill Network (IVY Network) who received testing for SARS-CoV-2 were included in a VE analysis. The analysis start date of August 19, 2021, was one week after the EUA of a third dose for persons with immunocompromising conditions. VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was compared between two groups: 1) adults who had completed a 2-dose mRNA vaccination series and were eligible for but had not received a third dose†; and 2) adults who were eligible for and had received a third dose ≥7 days before illness onset. VE was calculated for 2-dose and 3-dose recipients by comparing odds of antecedent vaccination between COVID-19 case-patients and control patients who did not have COVID-19. Case-patients had COVID-19–like illness§ and received positive SARS-CoV-2 test results by a nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) or antigen test within 10 days of illness onset. Control patients were hospitalized with or without COVID-19–like illness and received negative SARS-CoV-2 test results by NAAT.

Patients or their proxies were interviewed regarding patient demographic and clinical characteristics, and medical record searches were completed to collect information about chronic medical conditions. Information about receipt of prior COVID-19 vaccination doses, including dates, locations, and vaccine product received, was obtained through self-report and review of source documentation (including state vaccination registries, medical records, and vaccination cards). A patient was considered to be vaccinated if vaccination could be verified through source documentation or by self-report, including dates and location. Three vaccination groups were considered: 1) unvaccinated patients, who had received no COVID-19 vaccine doses before illness onset; 2) 2-dose mRNA vaccine recipients, who were eligible for but had not received a third vaccine dose or had received a third dose <7 days before illness onset; and 3) 3-dose mRNA vaccine recipients, who received a third dose ≥7 days before illness onset. Patients were excluded if they were admitted to the hospital ≤7 days after EUA authorization of a third dose, received one or more vaccine doses but did not qualify for inclusion in the 2-dose or 3-dose vaccine group,¶ received a non-mRNA vaccine (e.g., Ad26.COV2.S [Janssen (Johnson & Johnson)]), or if verification of vaccination was pending.

VE against COVID-19–associated hospitalization was estimated using logistic regression, comparing the odds of being vaccinated versus being unvaccinated among case-patients and controls using the equation VE = 100 × (1 − adjusted odds ratio). The regression model included case-patient or control status as the outcome variable and an indicator variable for vaccination group (unvaccinated, 2-dose recipient, or 3-dose recipient), and was adjusted for admission date, region of hospital (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services or U.S. Census Bureau), age group (18–49, 50–64, or ≥65 years), sex, and self-reported race and ethnicity. Separate models were generated for immunocompetent adults and adults with immunocompromising conditions. To compare VE among 2-dose versus 3-dose mRNA vaccine recipients, post hoc comparisons were performed with the pwcompare function in Stata with a two-sided significance threshold of p<0.05. Analyses were conducted using Stata software (version 16.0; StataCorp). This activity was determined to be public health surveillance by each participating site and CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.**

During August 19–December 15, 2021, the IVY Network enrolled 4,094 adults aged ≥18 years. After excluding 1,142 patients (619 because they did not belong to an included vaccination group, 386 because the patients had received a non-mRNA vaccine or vaccination verification was incomplete, and 137 because they met other exclusion criteria), 2,952 hospitalized patients were included (1,385 case-patients and 1,567 non–COVID-19 controls). Among all participants, median age was 62 years, 49% of patients were female, 58% were non-Hispanic White, and 36% had an immunocompromising condition. Among the 1,385 case-patients, 931 (67%), 408 (29%), and 46 (3%) had received 0, 2, and 3 mRNA vaccine doses, respectively. Among 1,567 non–COVID-19 controls, 458 (29%), 843 (54%), and 266 (17%) had received 0, 2, and 3 mRNA vaccine doses, respectively. Among patients without immunocompromising conditions (Table 1), 2- and 3-dose recipients were similar in terms of age (median = 69 and 72 years, respectively) but differed in self-reported race/ethnicity distribution (a higher percentage of non-Hispanic White persons were among 3-dose recipients; p = 0.008) and U.S. Census Bureau region of the admitting hospital (p = 0.030). Two-dose recipients were less likely to report working in health care settings (5%) than were 3-dose recipients (10%) (p = 0.023) and were more likely to be enrolled as a COVID-19 case-patient (31%) than were 3-dose recipients (8%) (p<0.001). Among patients with immunocompromising conditions (Table 2), 2-dose recipients were more likely to be enrolled as a case-patient (34%) than were 3-dose recipients (20%) (p<0.001). VE against COVID-19 hospitalization among adults without immunocompromising conditions was 82% (95% CI = 77%–86%) for 2 doses and 97% (95% CI = 95%–99%) for 3 doses (p<0.001) (Table 3). VE against COVID-19 hospitalization among adults with immunocompromising conditions was 69% (95% CI = 57%–78%) for 2 doses and 88% (95% CI = 81%–93%) for 3 doses (p<0.001). In a sensitivity analysis among patients with moderately to severely immunocompromising conditions defined by CDC††,[7] VE was 65% (95% CI = 49%–76%) for receipt of 2 doses, and 87% (95% CI = 78%–92%) for receipt of 3 doses (p<0.001).

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